2016 UGX to KMF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1354 KMF

YEARLY LOW

0.1258 KMF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1298 KMF

2016 UGX to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 0.1354. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 20, dropping to 0.1258.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0096 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1311 to the December average rate of 0.1297, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1354 was down 15.87% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1609, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 677 KMF

2015 Average 690 KMF

Yearly Trough Low 629 KMF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 48.08 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1320

0.1271

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1301, compared to 0.1296 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1301

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1296

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0080 KMF (High: 0.1342 / Low: 0.1262). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 KMF (High: 0.1314 / Low: 0.1295).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0080

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0017 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0017

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.1316) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1544), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0228 (-14.77%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.1316

2015 Avg (March) 0.1544

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1346	0.1277	0.1311
February	0.1342	0.1262	0.1294
March	0.1354	0.1296	0.1316
April	0.1324	0.1282	0.1299
May	0.1316	0.1288	0.1296
June	0.1302	0.1267	0.1289
July	0.1328	0.1272	0.1295
August	0.1326	0.1300	0.1316
September	0.1314	0.1295	0.1300
October	0.1305	0.1279	0.1292
November	0.1285	0.1258	0.1275
December	0.1330	0.1270	0.1297