YEARLY HIGH
0.1486 KMF
YEARLY LOW
0.1357 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1428 KMF

2014 UGX to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 4, valuing the pair at 0.1486. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 13, dropping to 0.1357.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0129 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1444 to the December average rate of 0.1446, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.1486 was down 0.37% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.1492, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 743 KMF
2013 Average 717 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 678 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 64.68 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.1468
0.1373
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1424, compared to 0.1432 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1424
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1432

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0059 KMF (High: 0.1486 / Low: 0.1427). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 KMF (High: 0.1427 / Low: 0.1404).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0059
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0055 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0055

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2014: 0.1452) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.1423), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0029 (+2.01%).

2014 Avg (October) 0.1452
2013 Avg (October) 0.1423

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1469 0.1415 0.1444
February 0.1473 0.1416 0.1460
March 0.1424 0.1387 0.1405
April 0.1423 0.1399 0.1411
May 0.1427 0.1404 0.1417
June 0.1421 0.1385 0.1405
July 0.1401 0.1357 0.1381
August 0.1434 0.1400 0.1414
September 0.1469 0.1428 0.1455
October 0.1486 0.1427 0.1452
November 0.1473 0.1423 0.1444
December 0.1468 0.1416 0.1446