YEARLY HIGH
6.0411 KMF
YEARLY LOW
0.1148 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1346 KMF

2019 UGX to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 23, valuing the pair at 6.0411. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.1148.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.9263 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1165 to the December average rate of 0.1207, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.0411 was up 3.91% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.8138, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,206 KMF
2018 Average 638 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 574 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,631.56 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.3291
0.0971
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1172, compared to 0.1521 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0350 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1172
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1521

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 5.9245 KMF (High: 6.0411 / Low: 0.1166). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0015 KMF (High: 0.1224 / Low: 0.1209).

July Spread (Volatile) ±5.9245
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0015

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1903 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1903

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 0.3098) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.1122), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1976 (+176.17%).

2019 Avg (July) 0.3098
2018 Avg (July) 0.1122

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1179 0.1148 0.1165
February 0.1190 0.1168 0.1181
March 0.1185 0.1169 0.1176
April 0.1182 0.1162 0.1172
May 0.1177 0.1161 0.1168
June 0.1183 0.1154 0.1168
July 6.0411 0.1166 0.3098
August 0.1214 0.1187 0.1195
September 0.1224 0.1209 0.1217
October 0.1226 0.1189 0.1205
November 0.1212 0.1193 0.1206
December 0.1213 0.1196 0.1207