YEARLY HIGH
5.5945 KMF
YEARLY LOW
0.1096 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1310 KMF

2020 UGX to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the UGX to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 5.5945. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 3, dropping to 0.1096.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4848 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1206 to the December average rate of 0.2873, the exchange rate registered a net change of 138.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 5.5945 was down 7.39% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.0411, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,972 KMF
2019 Average 675 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 548 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,424.17 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.3048
0.0946
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1196, compared to 0.1424 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0228 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1196
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1424

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was December, with a trading range of 5.4848 KMF (High: 5.5945 / Low: 0.1096). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 KMF (High: 0.1135 / Low: 0.1116).

December Spread (Volatile) ±5.4848
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 0.2873) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.1207), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1666 (+138.03%).

2020 Avg (December) 0.2873
2019 Avg (December) 0.1207

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1217 0.1186 0.1206
February 0.1246 0.1207 0.1227
March 0.1207 0.1159 0.1185
April 0.1213 0.1179 0.1199
May 0.1204 0.1174 0.1191
June 0.1183 0.1153 0.1170
July 0.1180 0.1134 0.1162
August 0.1141 0.1121 0.1131
September 0.1144 0.1121 0.1131
October 0.1135 0.1116 0.1126
November 0.1133 0.1108 0.1121
December 5.5945 0.1096 0.2873