2011 BGN to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

73.3594 ALL

YEARLY LOW

69.8396 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

71.7446 ALL

2011 BGN to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BGN to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 9, valuing the pair at 73.3594. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 69.8396.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.5197 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 70.9644 to the December average rate of 70.7152, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 73.3594 was up 2.13% compared to the 2010 peak of 71.8273, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 366,797 ALL

2010 Average 352,224 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 349,198 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,598.67 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

72.7516

70.5301

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 71.9090, compared to 71.5802 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3288 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 71.9090

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 71.5802

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 1.5129 ALL (High: 73.3594 / Low: 71.8464). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8813 ALL (High: 72.1089 / Low: 71.2277).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.5129

March Spread (Stable) ±0.8813

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.2790 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2790

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2011: 72.5665) against the same month in 2010 (average: 69.9377), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6287 (+3.76%).

2011 Avg (June) 72.5665

2010 Avg (June) 69.9377

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	71.4517	70.3785	70.9644
February	71.8239	70.8530	71.3532
March	72.1089	71.2277	71.6479
April	72.9837	71.6182	72.3776
May	73.2248	71.8011	72.5446
June	73.3594	71.8464	72.5665
July	72.1930	70.7647	71.4915
August	72.0593	70.7106	71.5258
September	72.3602	71.3888	71.8079
October	72.6412	71.2223	71.9465
November	72.6054	71.3819	71.9942
December	71.2638	69.8396	70.7152