2018 BGN to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

68.5868 ALL

YEARLY LOW

62.5363 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

65.2502 ALL

2018 BGN to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 68.5868. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 62.5363.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.0506 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 68.2774 to the December average rate of 63.1141, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 68.5868 was down 2.33% compared to the 2017 peak of 70.2265, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 342,934 ALL

2017 Average 342,941 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 312,681 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 30,252.78 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

68.7937

62.5978

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 66.4648, compared to 64.0356 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.4292 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 66.4648

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 64.0356

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 2.0194 ALL (High: 65.3713 / Low: 63.3519). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4948 ALL (High: 64.6904 / Low: 64.1957).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.0194

July Spread (Stable) ±0.4948

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.1844 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1844

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 68.2774) against the same month in 2017 (average: 69.7100), the exchange rate shifted by -1.4326 (-2.06%).

2018 Avg (January) 68.2774

2017 Avg (January) 69.7100

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	68.5868	67.9090	68.2774
February	68.5089	67.4057	67.8766
March	67.7488	65.7722	67.0730
April	67.0267	65.7457	66.1207
May	65.3689	64.2905	64.9363
June	65.3713	63.3519	64.5051
July	64.6904	64.1957	64.4409
August	64.6825	63.9487	64.2572
September	65.0090	64.2922	64.6865
October	64.5369	63.6451	64.0143
November	64.0161	63.3941	63.7007
December	63.5274	62.5363	63.1141