2019 BGN to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

64.4536 ALL

YEARLY LOW

61.6348 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

62.8960 ALL

2019 BGN to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 20, valuing the pair at 64.4536. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 61.6348.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8188 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 63.5903 to the December average rate of 62.5430, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 64.4536 was down 6.03% compared to the 2018 peak of 68.5868, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 322,268 ALL

2018 Average 326,170 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 308,174 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,093.90 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

64.0746

61.7966

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 63.3132, compared to 62.4787 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8346 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 63.3132

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 62.4787

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 1.8406 ALL (High: 64.3608 / Low: 62.5202). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6098 ALL (High: 63.1020 / Low: 62.4922).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.8406

November Spread (Stable) ±0.6098

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.5604 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5604

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 63.8848) against the same month in 2018 (average: 67.0730), the exchange rate shifted by -3.1882 (-4.75%).

2019 Avg (March) 63.8848

2018 Avg (March) 67.0730

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	64.3608	62.5202	63.5903
February	64.1987	63.3069	63.6374
March	64.4536	63.2837	63.8848
April	64.0719	62.8809	63.4681
May	63.2890	62.5358	62.9078
June	62.6815	61.7231	62.3911
July	62.5858	61.8186	62.3685
August	62.5014	61.6348	61.9864
September	62.7488	61.8761	62.1798
October	63.4527	62.3577	62.9700
November	63.1020	62.4922	62.8243
December	63.0496	62.1427	62.5430