2016 BGN to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

71.9837 ALL

YEARLY LOW

68.5981 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

70.2194 ALL

2016 BGN to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 71.9837. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 68.5981.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3856 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 70.6061 to the December average rate of 69.0992, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 71.9837 was down 0.93% compared to the 2015 peak of 72.6587, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 359,919 ALL

2015 Average 357,157 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 342,991 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,927.86 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

71.0742

68.9196

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 70.7112, compared to 69.7276 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9836 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 70.7112

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 69.7276

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.4584 ALL (High: 71.9837 / Low: 70.5253). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4954 ALL (High: 70.3775 / Low: 69.8821).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.4584

September Spread (Stable) ±0.4954

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7775 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7775

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 70.7927) against the same month in 2015 (average: 71.6743), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8816 (-1.23%).

2016 Avg (February) 70.7927

2015 Avg (February) 71.6743

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	71.2420	70.0406	70.6061
February	71.9837	70.5253	70.7927
March	71.3918	70.3565	70.7102
April	71.4416	70.2943	70.8947
May	71.1423	70.4065	70.6646
June	71.5557	70.1172	70.5989
July	70.3764	69.2782	69.8214
August	70.2917	69.4279	69.8610
September	70.3775	69.8821	70.1442
October	70.3218	69.4753	69.9148
November	69.9189	69.0327	69.5249
December	69.5980	68.5981	69.0992