YEARLY HIGH
13.0437 HNL
YEARLY LOW
11.4671 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.3129 HNL

2015 BGN to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BGN to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 13.0437. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 11, dropping to 11.4671.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5766 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.5262 to the December average rate of 12.1943, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 13.0437 was down 10.94% compared to the 2014 peak of 14.6455, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,218 HNL
2014 Average 69,217 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 57,335 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,883.09 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

12.6721
11.7660
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.2654, compared to 12.3603 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0949 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.2654
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.3603

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 1.0079 HNL (High: 13.0437 / Low: 12.0358). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3330 HNL (High: 12.7534 / Low: 12.4204).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0079
September Spread (Stable) ±0.3330

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5491 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5491

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 12.5262) against the same month in 2014 (average: 13.9593), the exchange rate shifted by -1.4332 (-10.27%).

2015 Avg (January) 12.5262
2014 Avg (January) 13.9593

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.0437 12.0358 12.5262
February 12.3714 12.0383 12.2698
March 12.1183 11.4671 11.8415
April 12.5374 11.5811 11.9116
May 12.8515 12.2106 12.5208
June 12.6429 12.2425 12.5227
July 12.4184 12.0742 12.2821
August 12.9473 12.2155 12.4756
September 12.7534 12.4204 12.5658
October 12.8631 12.3085 12.5966
November 12.3935 11.8450 12.0474
December 12.4085 11.8787 12.1943