YEARLY HIGH
14.5217 HNL
YEARLY LOW
8.4099 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.0524 HNL

2019 BGN to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 14.5217. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 9, dropping to 8.4099.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.1118 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.2614 to the December average rate of 13.8617, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 14.5217 was down 3.90% compared to the 2018 peak of 15.1116, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 72,608 HNL
2018 Average 72,176 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 42,049 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 30,559.13 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

14.3018
13.8175
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.1516, compared to 13.9532 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1985 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.1516
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.9532

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 5.7561 HNL (High: 14.1660 / Low: 8.4099). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2052 HNL (High: 14.3173 / Low: 14.1121).

December Spread (Volatile) ±5.7561
February Spread (Stable) ±0.2052

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1463 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1463

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 14.2555) against the same month in 2018 (average: 14.3081), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0525 (-0.37%).

2019 Avg (June) 14.2555
2018 Avg (June) 14.3081

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.4068 14.1304 14.2614
February 14.3173 14.1121 14.2139
March 14.3099 14.0282 14.1645
April 14.1850 13.9395 14.0754
May 14.1634 13.4505 13.9390
June 14.5217 13.9681 14.2555
July 14.2387 13.8553 14.1194
August 14.1339 13.7979 13.9730
September 13.9768 13.7349 13.8579
October 14.1102 13.6975 13.9581
November 14.0846 13.8437 13.9489
December 14.1660 8.4099 13.8617