YEARLY HIGH
15.1116 HNL
YEARLY LOW
13.2625 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.4386 HNL

2018 BGN to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 15.1116. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 13.2625.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8490 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.7398 to the December average rate of 14.1139, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 15.1116 was up 4.25% compared to the 2017 peak of 14.4953, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 75,558 HNL
2017 Average 67,814 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 66,313 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,245.07 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

14.9836
14.0237
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.6797, compared to 14.1975 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4822 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.6797
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.1975

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 1.0362 HNL (High: 14.2988 / Low: 13.2625). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1722 HNL (High: 14.4361 / Low: 14.2639).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.0362
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1722

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.4786 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4786

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 14.9037) against the same month in 2017 (average: 12.8127), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0909 (+16.32%).

2018 Avg (February) 14.9037
2017 Avg (February) 12.8127

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.0033 14.4362 14.7398
February 15.1116 14.7218 14.9037
March 15.0471 14.8006 14.8971
April 15.0164 14.6152 14.8542
May 14.5264 14.1115 14.3757
June 14.4972 14.1942 14.3081
July 14.4361 14.2639 14.3340
August 14.3759 13.9344 14.1639
September 14.4906 14.1959 14.3274
October 14.2793 13.9492 14.1425
November 14.2284 13.8479 14.1037
December 14.2988 13.2625 14.1139