YEARLY HIGH
13.2960 HNL
YEARLY LOW
12.3065 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.8815 HNL

2016 BGN to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 13.2960. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 12.3065.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9895 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.4613 to the December average rate of 12.5674, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.2960 was up 1.93% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.0437, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 66,480 HNL
2015 Average 61,569 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 61,532 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,947.50 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

13.1583
12.3980
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.8878, compared to 12.8753 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0125 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.8878
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.8753

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.5554 HNL (High: 13.0546 / Low: 12.4992). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1518 HNL (High: 13.1725 / Low: 13.0207).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5554
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1518

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1964 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1964

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 13.0472) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.5208), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5264 (+4.20%).

2016 Avg (May) 13.0472
2015 Avg (May) 12.5208

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.5666 12.3065 12.4613
February 13.0530 12.5019 12.8153
March 13.1278 12.5809 12.8712
April 13.1887 12.9544 13.0844
May 13.2960 12.8544 13.0472
June 13.2386 12.8051 13.0472
July 12.9793 12.8033 12.8918
August 13.2489 12.9676 13.0949
September 13.1725 13.0207 13.0922
October 13.1497 12.6856 12.8958
November 13.0546 12.4992 12.7095
December 12.7507 12.4332 12.5674