2011 DJF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5979 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.4538 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4990 KES

2011 DJF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the DJF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 0.5979. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.4538.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1441 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4556 to the December average rate of 0.4852, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.5979 was up 29.28% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.4625, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,990 KES

2010 Average 2,229 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2,269 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 720.57 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.5795

0.4443

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4735, compared to 0.5246 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0512 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4735

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5246

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.0517 KES (High: 0.5786 / Low: 0.5270). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0035 KES (High: 0.4573 / Low: 0.4538).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0517

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0440 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0440

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 0.5682) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.4539), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1143 (+25.19%).

2011 Avg (October) 0.5682

2010 Avg (October) 0.4539

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4573	0.4538	0.4556
February	0.4635	0.4554	0.4587
March	0.4839	0.4656	0.4743
April	0.4739	0.4686	0.4716
May	0.4885	0.4686	0.4799
June	0.5149	0.4832	0.5006
July	0.5129	0.4985	0.5059
August	0.5342	0.5128	0.5226
September	0.5786	0.5270	0.5417
October	0.5979	0.5582	0.5682
November	0.5532	0.5019	0.5242
December	0.5058	0.4666	0.4852