2012 DJF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4913 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.4577 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4739 KES

2012 DJF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the DJF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 0.4913. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 0.4577.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0337 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4829 to the December average rate of 0.4836, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.4913 was down 17.83% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.5979, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,457 KES

2011 Average 2,496 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2,288 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 168.42 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.4856

0.4619

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4703, compared to 0.4774 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0071 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4703

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4774

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0218 KES (High: 0.4913 / Low: 0.4695). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0035 KES (High: 0.4746 / Low: 0.4711).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0218

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0173 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0173

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 0.4829) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.4556), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0273 (+5.99%).

2012 Avg (January) 0.4829

2011 Avg (January) 0.4556

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4913	0.4695	0.4829
February	0.4696	0.4628	0.4656
March	0.4671	0.4577	0.4639
April	0.4669	0.4619	0.4647
May	0.4838	0.4631	0.4709
June	0.4826	0.4657	0.4738
July	0.4746	0.4711	0.4732
August	0.4751	0.4702	0.4724
September	0.4802	0.4716	0.4754
October	0.4808	0.4763	0.4787
November	0.4837	0.4794	0.4813
December	0.4856	0.4799	0.4836