2013 DJF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4951 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.4706 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4851 KES

2013 DJF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the DJF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 0.4951. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 9, dropping to 0.4706.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0245 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4899 to the December average rate of 0.4847, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.4951 was up 0.77% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.4913, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,476 KES

2012 Average 2,370 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2,353 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 122.69 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.4946

0.4720

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4828, compared to 0.4874 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0046 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4828

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4874

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was October, with a trading range of 0.0112 KES (High: 0.4892 / Low: 0.4780). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0048 KES (High: 0.4951 / Low: 0.4903).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0112

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0048

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0109 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0109

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2013: 0.4926) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.4724), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0202 (+4.27%).

2013 Avg (August) 0.4926

2012 Avg (August) 0.4724

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4946	0.4839	0.4899
February	0.4945	0.4856	0.4927
March	0.4882	0.4802	0.4836
April	0.4816	0.4723	0.4753
May	0.4800	0.4706	0.4739
June	0.4856	0.4780	0.4815
July	0.4932	0.4831	0.4890
August	0.4951	0.4903	0.4926
September	0.4937	0.4876	0.4918
October	0.4892	0.4780	0.4809
November	0.4895	0.4814	0.4854
December	0.4890	0.4807	0.4847