2015 DJF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5976 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.5073 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5529 KES

2015 DJF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the DJF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 0.5976. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.5073.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0902 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5136 to the December average rate of 0.5752, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.5976 was up 17.20% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.5099, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,988 KES

2014 Average 2,464 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2,537 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 451.24 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.6017

0.5056

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5273, compared to 0.5784 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0511 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5273

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5784

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was May, with a trading range of 0.0205 KES (High: 0.5542 / Low: 0.5337). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 KES (High: 0.5771 / Low: 0.5737).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0205

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0150 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0150

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 0.5937) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.4975), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0961 (+19.32%).

2015 Avg (September) 0.5937

2014 Avg (September) 0.4975

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5180	0.5073	0.5136
February	0.5164	0.5111	0.5136
March	0.5206	0.5100	0.5161
April	0.5335	0.5188	0.5259
May	0.5542	0.5337	0.5432
June	0.5597	0.5431	0.5515
July	0.5782	0.5592	0.5708
August	0.5849	0.5684	0.5769
September	0.5976	0.5851	0.5937
October	0.5886	0.5719	0.5786
November	0.5771	0.5737	0.5754
December	0.5766	0.5719	0.5752