2018 DJF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5797 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.5615 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5696 KES

2018 DJF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 15, valuing the pair at 0.5797. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 22, dropping to 0.5615.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0182 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5757 to the December average rate of 0.5740, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5797 was down 0.90% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5849, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,898 KES

2017 Average 2,892 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2,807 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 90.85 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5767

0.5645

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5701, compared to 0.5690 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5701

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5690

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0103 KES (High: 0.5797 / Low: 0.5693). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 KES (High: 0.5685 / Low: 0.5651).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0103

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0046 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0046

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.5747) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5791), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0043 (-0.75%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.5747

2017 Avg (November) 0.5791

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5795	0.5724	0.5757
February	0.5754	0.5676	0.5711
March	0.5727	0.5692	0.5713
April	0.5727	0.5644	0.5688
May	0.5705	0.5637	0.5665
June	0.5696	0.5658	0.5675
July	0.5680	0.5615	0.5656
August	0.5671	0.5635	0.5655
September	0.5685	0.5651	0.5663
October	0.5725	0.5653	0.5678
November	0.5797	0.5693	0.5747
December	0.5765	0.5693	0.5740