2014 DJF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5099 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.4794 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4927 KES

2014 DJF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the DJF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.5099. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 0.4794.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0304 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4846 to the December average rate of 0.5071, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.5099 was up 2.97% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.4951, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,549 KES

2013 Average 2,425 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2,397 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 152.06 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.5094

0.4823

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4867, compared to 0.4987 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0120 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4867

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4987

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0112 KES (High: 0.4907 / Low: 0.4794). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0044 KES (High: 0.4930 / Low: 0.4885).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0112

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0044

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 0.5071) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.4847), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0225 (+4.64%).

2014 Avg (December) 0.5071

2013 Avg (December) 0.4847

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4907	0.4794	0.4846
February	0.4872	0.4825	0.4845
March	0.4887	0.4838	0.4860
April	0.4888	0.4833	0.4858
May	0.4933	0.4848	0.4890
June	0.4928	0.4872	0.4902
July	0.4930	0.4885	0.4910
August	0.4962	0.4896	0.4930
September	0.5021	0.4948	0.4975
October	0.5021	0.4973	0.4997
November	0.5064	0.4995	0.5038
December	0.5099	0.5051	0.5071