2016 DJF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5798 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.5660 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5713 KES

2016 DJF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 0.5798. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 9, dropping to 0.5660.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0137 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5761 to the December average rate of 0.5725, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5798 was down 2.98% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5976, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,899 KES

2015 Average 2,765 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2,830 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 68.75 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.5769

0.5664

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5712, compared to 0.5714 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5712

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5714

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0078 KES (High: 0.5758 / Low: 0.5680). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0030 KES (High: 0.5725 / Low: 0.5695).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0078

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0030

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0029 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0029

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.5761) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.5136), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0625 (+12.17%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.5761

2015 Avg (January) 0.5136

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5798	0.5731	0.5761
February	0.5766	0.5716	0.5739
March	0.5725	0.5686	0.5710
April	0.5716	0.5686	0.5698
May	0.5694	0.5660	0.5673
June	0.5703	0.5673	0.5690
July	0.5741	0.5697	0.5713
August	0.5740	0.5705	0.5717
September	0.5725	0.5695	0.5706
October	0.5726	0.5686	0.5703
November	0.5732	0.5700	0.5716
December	0.5758	0.5680	0.5725