YEARLY HIGH
6.7276 KES
YEARLY LOW
4.8373 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6313 KES

2011 ETB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ETB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 14, valuing the pair at 6.7276. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 4.8373.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8903 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3618 to the December average rate of 5.0111, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 6.7276 was down 8.39% compared to the 2010 peak of 7.3439, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,638 KES
2010 Average 34,197 KES
Yearly Trough Low 24,187 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,451.39 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

6.7514
4.8529
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8117, compared to 5.4508 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3609 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8117
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4508

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 1.5953 KES (High: 6.5287 / Low: 4.9334). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0408 KES (High: 6.3859 / Low: 6.3452).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.5953
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0408

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.3978 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3978

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2011: 6.5932) against the same month in 2010 (average: 6.9032), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3100 (-4.49%).

2011 Avg (March) 6.5932
2010 Avg (March) 6.9032

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.3859 6.3452 6.3618
February 6.4499 6.3519 6.3910
March 6.7276 6.4806 6.5932
April 6.5287 4.9334 5.1955
May 5.1509 4.9479 5.0665
June 5.4057 5.1001 5.2625
July 5.3584 5.2113 5.2921
August 5.5763 5.3579 5.4471
September 6.0131 5.4842 5.6315
October 6.2083 5.7905 5.8983
November 5.7409 5.1728 5.4249
December 5.2216 4.8373 5.0111