YEARLY HIGH
3.6253 KES
YEARLY LOW
3.1543 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4942 KES

2019 ETB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ETB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 3.6253. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 3.1543.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4710 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5817 to the December average rate of 3.2226, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.6253 was down 4.19% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.7840, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,127 KES
2018 Average 18,304 KES
Yearly Trough Low 15,771 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,355.20 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.6176
3.1867
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5239, compared to 3.4646 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0593 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5239
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4646

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.1999 KES (High: 3.3542 / Low: 3.1543). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0497 KES (High: 3.5500 / Low: 3.5003).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1999
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0497

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1983 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1983

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 3.5817) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.7474), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1657 (-4.42%).

2019 Avg (January) 3.5817
2018 Avg (January) 3.7474

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6253 3.5289 3.5817
February 3.5500 3.5003 3.5199
March 3.5533 3.4763 3.5165
April 3.5503 3.4824 3.5109
May 3.5333 3.4821 3.5028
June 3.5638 3.4755 3.5115
July 3.6012 3.5250 3.5631
August 3.5880 3.5056 3.5410
September 3.5692 3.5139 3.5314
October 3.5565 3.4746 3.5084
November 3.4900 3.3528 3.4209
December 3.3542 3.1543 3.2226