YEARLY HIGH
4.7875 KES
YEARLY LOW
4.4715 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6031 KES

2013 ETB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ETB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 29, valuing the pair at 4.7875. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 24, dropping to 4.4715.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3160 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7507 to the December average rate of 4.5189, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 4.7875 was down 5.44% compared to the 2012 peak of 5.0628, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,937 KES
2012 Average 23,781 KES
Yearly Trough Low 22,357 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,579.94 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

4.7777
4.4747
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6305, compared to 4.5758 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0547 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6305
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5758

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was October, with a trading range of 0.1431 KES (High: 4.6146 / Low: 4.4715). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0413 KES (High: 4.6748 / Low: 4.6335).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1431
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0413

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1290 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1290

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 4.7507) against the same month in 2012 (average: 4.9751), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2244 (-4.51%).

2013 Avg (January) 4.7507
2012 Avg (January) 4.9751

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7875 4.7047 4.7507
February 4.7769 4.6730 4.7525
March 4.6991 4.6170 4.6484
April 4.6222 4.5079 4.5457
May 4.5591 4.4782 4.5132
June 4.5985 4.5389 4.5723
July 4.6698 4.5776 4.6307
August 4.6748 4.6335 4.6480
September 4.6652 4.5781 4.6289
October 4.6146 4.4715 4.4999
November 4.5658 4.4900 4.5284
December 4.5531 4.4746 4.5189