YEARLY HIGH
5.0829 KES
YEARLY LOW
4.4671 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7453 KES

2015 ETB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ETB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 5.0829. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 6, dropping to 4.4671.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6158 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5121 to the December average rate of 4.8405, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.0829 was up 11.84% compared to the 2014 peak of 4.5446, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,414 KES
2014 Average 22,355 KES
Yearly Trough Low 22,335 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,079.12 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.0976
4.4459
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5835, compared to 4.9072 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3238 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5835
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9072

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was October, with a trading range of 0.1684 KES (High: 4.9972 / Low: 4.8288). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0291 KES (High: 4.8676 / Low: 4.8385).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1684
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0291

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1445 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1445

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 5.0433) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.4568), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5864 (+13.16%).

2015 Avg (September) 5.0433
2014 Avg (September) 4.4568

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5402 4.4749 4.5121
February 4.5266 4.4837 4.5027
March 4.5338 4.4671 4.5002
April 4.6167 4.5129 4.5629
May 4.7697 4.6124 4.6874
June 4.7851 4.6804 4.7355
July 4.9474 4.7933 4.8841
August 4.9894 4.8497 4.9237
September 5.0829 4.9860 5.0433
October 4.9972 4.8288 4.8987
November 4.8676 4.8385 4.8530
December 4.8831 4.8234 4.8405