2026 ETB to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8407 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8007 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8187 KES

2026 ETB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ETB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 30, valuing the pair at 0.8407. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 7, dropping to 0.8007.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0400 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8289 to the December average rate of 0.8054, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.8407 was down 18.67% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.0336, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,203 KES

2025 Average 4,674 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,003 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 199.76 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.8330

0.8017

JanuMarcMayJuly

ETB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8233, compared to 0.8049 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0184 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8233

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8049

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was June, with a trading range of 0.0196 KES (High: 0.8215 / Low: 0.8019). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0090 KES (High: 0.8330 / Low: 0.8240).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0196

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0090

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0148 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 0.8304) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.9935), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1631 (-16.42%).

2026 Avg (March) 0.8304

2025 Avg (March) 0.9935

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8330	0.8240	0.8289
February	0.8353	0.8257	0.8302
March	0.8407	0.8220	0.8304
April	0.8336	0.8203	0.8273
May	0.8227	0.8061	0.8125
June	0.8215	0.8019	0.8105
July	0.8107	0.8008	0.8043
August	0.8101	0.8007	0.8054