YEARLY HIGH
5.0628 KES
YEARLY LOW
4.6636 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7561 KES

2012 ETB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ETB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 5.0628. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 4.6636.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3992 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9751 to the December average rate of 4.7149, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 5.0628 was down 24.75% compared to the 2011 peak of 6.7276, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,314 KES
2011 Average 28,139 KES
Yearly Trough Low 23,318 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,996.15 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

5.0044
4.6527
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8081, compared to 4.7042 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8081
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7042

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.2229 KES (High: 5.0628 / Low: 4.8399). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0262 KES (High: 4.7174 / Low: 4.6911).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2229
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0262

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1912 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1912

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 4.9751) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.3618), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3867 (-21.80%).

2012 Avg (January) 4.9751
2011 Avg (January) 6.3618

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0628 4.8399 4.9751
February 4.8251 4.7456 4.7839
March 4.7864 4.7045 4.7523
April 4.7724 4.7424 4.7586
May 4.9176 4.7331 4.7909
June 4.8830 4.7078 4.7877
July 4.7474 4.6877 4.7083
August 4.7192 4.6636 4.6820
September 4.7395 4.6689 4.6990
October 4.7174 4.6911 4.7063
November 4.7360 4.7014 4.7144
December 4.7357 4.6955 4.7149