YEARLY HIGH
4.6587 KES
YEARLY LOW
3.7463 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3376 KES

2017 ETB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the ETB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 4.6587. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 3.7463.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9123 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5977 to the December average rate of 3.7685, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 4.6587 was down 3.64% compared to the 2016 peak of 4.8347, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,293 KES
2016 Average 23,249 KES
Yearly Trough Low 18,732 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,561.70 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

4.6806
3.6856
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5300, compared to 4.1453 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3848 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5300
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1453

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was October, with a trading range of 0.6155 KES (High: 4.4036 / Low: 3.7882). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0594 KES (High: 3.8057 / Low: 3.7463).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.6155
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0594

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3715 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3715

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 4.5977) against the same month in 2016 (average: 4.8175), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2199 (-4.56%).

2017 Avg (January) 4.5977
2016 Avg (January) 4.8175

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6587 4.5580 4.5977
February 4.6283 4.5134 4.5706
March 4.5573 4.4726 4.5225
April 4.5551 4.4847 4.5221
May 4.5205 4.4539 4.4872
June 4.5154 4.4423 4.4799
July 4.5386 4.4363 4.4697
August 4.4712 4.3812 4.4371
September 4.4243 4.3476 4.3875
October 4.4036 3.7882 4.0160
November 3.8272 3.7639 3.7926
December 3.8057 3.7463 3.7685