YEARLY HIGH
3.2786 KES
YEARLY LOW
2.7694 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0543 KES

2020 ETB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ETB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 18, valuing the pair at 3.2786. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 2.7694.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5092 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1533 to the December average rate of 2.8555, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 3.2786 was down 9.56% compared to the 2019 peak of 3.6253, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,393 KES
2019 Average 17,470 KES
Yearly Trough Low 13,847 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,546.02 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

3.2575
2.8190
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1589, compared to 2.9497 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2093 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1589
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.9497

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.1458 KES (High: 3.2608 / Low: 3.1150). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0493 KES (High: 3.1755 / Low: 3.1262).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1458
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0493

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0692 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0692

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2020: 3.2210) against the same month in 2019 (average: 3.5109), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2899 (-8.26%).

2020 Avg (April) 3.2210
2019 Avg (April) 3.5109

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.1755 3.1262 3.1533
February 3.1741 3.1159 3.1415
March 3.2608 3.1150 3.1828
April 3.2786 3.1827 3.2210
May 3.2301 3.1201 3.1620
June 3.1325 3.0394 3.0928
July 3.0867 3.0270 3.0503
August 3.0795 2.9914 3.0248
September 3.0084 2.9442 2.9599
October 2.9501 2.8562 2.9202
November 2.9435 2.8565 2.8871
December 2.9097 2.7694 2.8555