YEARLY HIGH
7.5240 MDL
YEARLY LOW
6.9861 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.2464 MDL

2012 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 7.5240. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 6.9861.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5379 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.0612 to the December average rate of 7.3373, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 7.5240 was up 4.66% compared to the 2011 peak of 7.1888, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,620 MDL
2011 Average 34,750 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 34,931 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,689.55 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

7.4607
7.0249
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.2113, compared to 7.2814 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0701 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.2113
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2814

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was October, with a trading range of 0.3364 MDL (High: 7.4218 / Low: 7.0854). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0581 MDL (High: 7.2047 / Low: 7.1466).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.3364
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0581

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1889 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1889

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 7.4080) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.9788), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4291 (+6.15%).

2012 Avg (June) 7.4080
2011 Avg (June) 6.9788

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.1366 6.9861 7.0612
February 7.2706 7.0566 7.1355
March 7.2179 7.1002 7.1716
April 7.2433 7.1612 7.1914
May 7.4215 7.1653 7.3002
June 7.5240 7.3687 7.4080
July 7.3248 7.1318 7.2190
August 7.2881 7.1768 7.2315
September 7.2047 7.1466 7.1708
October 7.4218 7.0854 7.3055
November 7.4776 7.3778 7.4243
December 7.4463 7.2686 7.3373