2018 GEL to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.0224 MDL

YEARLY LOW

6.3308 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.7646 MDL

2018 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 7.0224. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 6.3308.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6916 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.6266 to the December average rate of 6.4505, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.0224 was down 13.99% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.1650, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 35,112 MDL

2017 Average 36,952 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 31,654 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,457.90 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.9981

6.4007

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.7660, compared to 6.7632 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0028 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.7660

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.7632

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.5519 MDL (High: 7.0013 / Low: 6.4494). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0618 MDL (High: 6.8091 / Low: 6.7473).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5519

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0618

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3207 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3207

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 6.9483) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.9997), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0514 (-0.73%).

2018 Avg (October) 6.9483

2017 Avg (October) 6.9997

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.7831	6.5788	6.6266
February	6.8460	6.7143	6.7796
March	6.8091	6.7473	6.7719
April	6.8010	6.6858	6.7469
May	6.8820	6.7524	6.7971
June	6.9275	6.8228	6.8737
July	6.9095	6.7634	6.8273
August	6.7892	6.6830	6.7397
September	6.9125	6.7090	6.8421
October	7.0224	6.8926	6.9483
November	7.0013	6.4494	6.7711
December	6.5049	6.3308	6.4505