YEARLY HIGH
6.4080 MDL
YEARLY LOW
4.9987 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5550 MDL

2020 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 25, valuing the pair at 6.4080. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 5, dropping to 4.9987.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4093 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0374 to the December average rate of 5.2194, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 6.4080 was down 3.66% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.6513, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,040 MDL
2019 Average 31,158 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 24,994 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,046.56 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

6.2779
5.0577
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8227, compared to 5.2872 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5355 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8227
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2872

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 1.1259 MDL (High: 6.3003 / Low: 5.1744). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0986 MDL (High: 5.4064 / Low: 5.3078).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.1259
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0986

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2903 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2903

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2020: 6.1762) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6.4427), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2664 (-4.14%).

2020 Avg (February) 6.1762
2019 Avg (February) 6.4427

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1416 5.9670 6.0374
February 6.4080 5.9912 6.1762
March 6.3003 5.1744 5.8860
April 5.8738 5.5763 5.6956
May 5.5937 5.4683 5.5234
June 5.8289 5.4147 5.6178
July 5.6354 5.3541 5.5164
August 5.4064 5.3078 5.3513
September 5.3832 5.0195 5.2331
October 5.2821 5.1500 5.2438
November 5.2550 4.9987 5.1594
December 5.2770 5.1627 5.2194