YEARLY HIGH
10.7398 MDL
YEARLY LOW
7.4887 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.5944 MDL

2015 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 21, valuing the pair at 10.7398. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 13, dropping to 7.4887.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.2511 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.4356 to the December average rate of 8.2374, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 10.7398 was up 20.86% compared to the 2014 peak of 8.8865, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 53,699 MDL
2014 Average 39,801 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 37,443 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,255.57 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

10.7975
7.4390
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.9101, compared to 8.2786 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6314 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.9101
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.2786

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 2.4592 MDL (High: 10.5039 / Low: 8.0447). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1269 MDL (High: 8.3960 / Low: 8.2690).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.4592
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1269

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.6750 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6750

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 10.5177) against the same month in 2014 (average: 7.7015), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8162 (+36.57%).

2015 Avg (February) 10.5177
2014 Avg (February) 7.7015

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.1895 8.8395 9.4356
February 10.7398 10.1986 10.5177
March 10.5039 8.0447 9.6374
April 8.2023 7.7195 7.9624
May 7.9045 7.4887 7.7189
June 8.5104 7.8691 8.1885
July 8.4825 8.2253 8.3948
August 8.2819 7.9190 8.1728
September 8.5310 7.9918 8.2100
October 8.4204 8.2058 8.3297
November 8.3960 8.2690 8.3271
December 8.3642 8.1515 8.2374