YEARLY HIGH
7.8952 MDL
YEARLY LOW
7.2514 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5300 MDL

2013 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 10, valuing the pair at 7.8952. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 7.2514.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6438 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3148 to the December average rate of 7.4658, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 7.8952 was up 4.93% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.5240, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,476 MDL
2012 Average 36,232 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 36,257 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,219.24 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

7.8170
7.2692
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.4270, compared to 7.6330 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2060 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.4270
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.6330

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.4403 MDL (High: 7.7515 / Low: 7.3113). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0898 MDL (High: 7.3582 / Low: 7.2684).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.4403
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0898

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2465 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2465

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2013: 7.7714) against the same month in 2012 (average: 7.3055), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4659 (+6.38%).

2013 Avg (October) 7.7714
2012 Avg (October) 7.3055

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.3582 7.2684 7.3148
February 7.4354 7.2514 7.3164
March 7.4973 7.3723 7.4357
April 7.5117 7.4075 7.4567
May 7.6684 7.4142 7.5293
June 7.5953 7.4399 7.5089
July 7.6473 7.2931 7.5002
August 7.6987 7.5221 7.6408
September 7.7729 7.5976 7.7072
October 7.8952 7.6460 7.7714
November 7.7747 7.6404 7.7124
December 7.7515 7.3113 7.4658