YEARLY HIGH
8.1650 MDL
YEARLY LOW
6.3140 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.3916 MDL

2017 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 8.1650. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 29, dropping to 6.3140.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8510 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.4380 to the December average rate of 6.5500, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 8.1650 was down 12.49% compared to the 2016 peak of 9.3303, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,825 MDL
2016 Average 42,170 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 31,570 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,254.95 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

8.1536
6.4042
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.7000, compared to 7.0832 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6168 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.7000
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0832

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was November, with a trading range of 0.8019 MDL (High: 7.1159 / Low: 6.3140). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0751 MDL (High: 7.5875 / Low: 7.5124).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.8019
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0751

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3592 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3592

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2017: 7.9813) against the same month in 2016 (average: 8.3270), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3457 (-4.15%).

2017 Avg (March) 7.9813
2016 Avg (March) 8.3270

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.5550 7.3028 7.4380
February 7.7752 7.3735 7.5725
March 8.1650 7.8683 7.9813
April 8.1074 7.7699 8.0078
May 7.8943 7.5013 7.6486
June 7.6161 7.4783 7.5517
July 7.5875 7.5124 7.5528
August 7.5488 7.3072 7.4519
September 7.3248 7.0963 7.1659
October 7.1555 6.8147 6.9997
November 7.1159 6.3140 6.7792
December 6.7898 6.3374 6.5500