YEARLY HIGH
6.6513 MDL
YEARLY LOW
5.8015 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.2333 MDL

2019 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 6.6513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 20, dropping to 5.8015.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8497 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4295 to the December average rate of 5.9704, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.6513 was down 5.28% compared to the 2018 peak of 7.0224, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,256 MDL
2018 Average 33,820 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 29,008 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,248.63 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

6.6183
5.7997
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4819, compared to 5.9847 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4972 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4819
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.9847

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.4599 MDL (High: 6.4182 / Low: 5.9583). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1073 MDL (High: 6.4769 / Low: 6.3695).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.4599
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1073

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3654 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3654

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 6.5445) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.8737), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3292 (-4.79%).

2019 Avg (June) 6.5445
2018 Avg (June) 6.8737

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4769 6.3695 6.4295
February 6.4968 6.3618 6.4427
March 6.4511 6.3422 6.4037
April 6.6380 6.4355 6.5501
May 6.6059 6.4532 6.5212
June 6.6513 6.3354 6.5445
July 6.4182 5.9583 6.1791
August 6.1159 5.9442 6.0191
September 6.0429 5.9185 5.9793
October 5.9747 5.8135 5.8926
November 5.9121 5.8015 5.8679
December 6.0595 5.8706 5.9704