YEARLY HIGH
7.2604 MDL
YEARLY LOW
6.4305 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.9016 MDL

2023 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 11, valuing the pair at 7.2604. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 6.4305.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8299 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.1250 to the December average rate of 6.5557, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 7.2604 was down 0.77% compared to the 2022 peak of 7.3165, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,302 MDL
2022 Average 32,508 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 32,153 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,149.55 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

7.2792
6.4899
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.0735, compared to 6.7297 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3438 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.0735
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.7297

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 0.4057 MDL (High: 7.2205 / Low: 6.8148). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0823 MDL (High: 7.1680 / Low: 7.0857).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4057
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0823

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1642 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1642

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 7.2134) against the same month in 2022 (average: 5.6902), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5232 (+26.77%).

2023 Avg (March) 7.2134
2022 Avg (March) 5.6902

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.1680 7.0857 7.1250
February 7.1789 7.0395 7.1034
March 7.2604 7.1572 7.2134
April 7.2052 7.0995 7.1545
May 7.2205 6.8148 6.9903
June 7.0115 6.7966 6.8544
July 7.0546 6.7053 6.9201
August 6.8267 6.6798 6.7577
September 6.8608 6.6934 6.7922
October 6.8050 6.6916 6.7464
November 6.7103 6.5322 6.6061
December 6.7156 6.4305 6.5557