YEARLY HIGH
8.8865 MDL
YEARLY LOW
7.3958 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.9587 MDL

2014 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 8.8865. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 7.3958.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4907 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.4757 to the December average rate of 8.6580, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 8.8865 was up 12.56% compared to the 2013 peak of 7.8952, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,432 MDL
2013 Average 37,655 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 36,979 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,453.39 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

8.7762
7.3575
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.6752, compared to 8.2423 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5671 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.6752
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.2423

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.6695 MDL (High: 8.8865 / Low: 8.2170). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0606 MDL (High: 7.9551 / Low: 7.8945).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.6695
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0606

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0623 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0623

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 8.6580) against the same month in 2013 (average: 7.4658), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1922 (+15.97%).

2014 Avg (December) 8.6580
2013 Avg (December) 7.4658

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.5779 7.3958 7.4757
February 7.7895 7.5873 7.7015
March 7.8001 7.5893 7.6794
April 7.6557 7.5840 7.6171
May 7.8275 7.5933 7.7009
June 7.9366 7.8152 7.8766
July 7.9551 7.8945 7.9321
August 8.0335 7.8491 7.9323
September 8.2729 8.0366 8.1639
October 8.4150 8.2666 8.3373
November 8.5567 8.2909 8.4301
December 8.8865 8.2170 8.6580