YEARLY HIGH
4.8908 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.4251 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7601 MOP

2011 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 4, valuing the pair at 4.8908. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 17, dropping to 4.4251.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4657 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4611 to the December average rate of 4.8259, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 4.8908 was up 3.47% compared to the 2010 peak of 4.7268, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,454 MOP
2010 Average 22,406 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 22,125 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,328.73 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

4.9087
4.4204
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6839, compared to 4.8363 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1524 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6839
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8363

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 0.1891 MOP (High: 4.8855 / Low: 4.6964). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0200 MOP (High: 4.8440 / Low: 4.8240).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1891
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0200

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0362 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0362

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 4.8680) against the same month in 2010 (average: 4.3510), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5171 (+11.88%).

2011 Avg (August) 4.8680
2010 Avg (August) 4.3510

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5194 4.4251 4.4611
February 4.6064 4.4469 4.5193
March 4.7244 4.6325 4.6869
April 4.8855 4.6964 4.8121
May 4.8805 4.7292 4.7775
June 4.8896 4.8097 4.8463
July 4.8741 4.7686 4.8174
August 4.8908 4.8280 4.8680
September 4.8440 4.8240 4.8318
October 4.8544 4.8077 4.8360
November 4.8549 4.8261 4.8388
December 4.8449 4.7627 4.8259