2026 GEL to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0886 MOP

YEARLY LOW

2.9400 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

3.0216 MOP

2026 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 3.0886. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 8, dropping to 2.9400.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1486 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9818 to the December average rate of 3.0742, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3.0886 was up 2.81% compared to the 2025 peak of 3.0042, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,443 MOP

2025 Average 14,661 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 14,700 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 742.79 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

3.0841

2.9653

JanuMarcMayJuly

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0048, compared to 3.0721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0672 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0048

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.0788 MOP (High: 3.0189 / Low: 2.9400). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MOP (High: 3.0742 / Low: 3.0742).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0788

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0243 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0243

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 3.0700) against the same month in 2025 (average: 2.9823), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0877 (+2.94%).

2026 Avg (July) 3.0700

2025 Avg (July) 2.9823

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.9966	2.9607	2.9818
February	3.0195	2.9773	2.9995
March	3.0189	2.9400	2.9752
April	3.0177	2.9873	3.0008
May	3.0339	3.0115	3.0269
June	3.0595	3.0227	3.0448
July	3.0886	3.0535	3.0700
August	3.0742	3.0742	3.0742