YEARLY HIGH
3.2635 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.9525 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0738 MOP

2023 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 5, valuing the pair at 3.2635. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 26, dropping to 2.9525.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3110 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0220 to the December average rate of 2.9987, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 3.2635 was up 7.53% compared to the 2022 peak of 3.0350, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,317 MOP
2022 Average 13,878 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 14,762 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,555.16 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

3.2270
2.9498
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1132, compared to 3.0344 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0787 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1132
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0344

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 0.1670 MOP (High: 3.2635 / Low: 3.0965). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0369 MOP (High: 3.1020 / Low: 3.0651).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1670
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0369

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0863 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0863

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2023: 3.1754) against the same month in 2022 (average: 2.7245), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4509 (+16.55%).

2023 Avg (May) 3.1754
2022 Avg (May) 2.7245

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0693 2.9733 3.0220
February 3.1026 3.0257 3.0588
March 3.1716 3.0740 3.1299
April 3.2341 3.1619 3.2039
May 3.2635 3.0965 3.1754
June 3.1048 3.0534 3.0891
July 3.1398 3.0727 3.1099
August 3.1020 3.0651 3.0808
September 3.0928 2.9839 3.0471
October 3.0177 2.9761 2.9972
November 3.0007 2.9525 2.9729
December 3.0247 2.9833 2.9987