YEARLY HIGH
4.9017 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.5743 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7996 MOP

2013 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 28, valuing the pair at 4.9017. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 4.5743.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3274 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8123 to the December average rate of 4.6102, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 4.9017 was down 0.73% compared to the 2012 peak of 4.9377, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,509 MOP
2012 Average 23,931 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 22,872 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,637.06 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

4.9002
4.5838
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8324, compared to 4.7667 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0657 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8324
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7667

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.1433 MOP (High: 4.7176 / Low: 4.5743). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0327 MOP (High: 4.8139 / Low: 4.7812).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1433
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0327

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1455 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1455

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 4.8739) against the same month in 2012 (average: 4.9208), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0470 (-0.95%).

2013 Avg (May) 4.8739
2012 Avg (May) 4.9208

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8291 4.7884 4.8123
February 4.8619 4.8067 4.8280
March 4.8452 4.7915 4.8199
April 4.8504 4.8084 4.8331
May 4.9017 4.8443 4.8739
June 4.8583 4.7717 4.8272
July 4.8453 4.7845 4.8249
August 4.8358 4.7816 4.8072
September 4.8215 4.7888 4.8060
October 4.8139 4.7812 4.7962
November 4.7824 4.7142 4.7556
December 4.7176 4.5743 4.6102