YEARLY HIGH
3.3925 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.8910 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2155 MOP

2017 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 3.3925. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 2.8910.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5015 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9616 to the December average rate of 3.0689, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 3.3925 was down 9.77% compared to the 2016 peak of 3.7598, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,962 MOP
2016 Average 16,962 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 14,455 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,507.46 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

3.3951
2.9222
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1992, compared to 3.2318 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0326 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1992
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2318

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was November, with a trading range of 0.2976 MOP (High: 3.2495 / Low: 2.9519). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0536 MOP (High: 3.3453 / Low: 3.2918).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2976
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0536

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1160 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1160

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2017: 3.3557) against the same month in 2016 (average: 3.4483), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0926 (-2.68%).

2017 Avg (August) 3.3557
2016 Avg (August) 3.4483

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0200 2.8910 2.9616
February 3.1284 2.9570 3.0355
March 3.2974 3.1784 3.2408
April 3.3726 3.2392 3.3224
May 3.3352 3.2732 3.3057
June 3.3453 3.2918 3.3290
July 3.3740 3.3182 3.3498
August 3.3925 3.3021 3.3557
September 3.3232 3.2367 3.2671
October 3.2779 3.1540 3.2326
November 3.2495 2.9519 3.1165
December 3.1821 2.9691 3.0689