YEARLY HIGH
4.5968 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.3599 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5382 MOP

2014 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 4.5968. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 3, dropping to 4.3599.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2369 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5337 to the December average rate of 4.4852, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.5968 was down 6.22% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.9017, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,984 MOP
2013 Average 23,996 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 21,800 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,184.30 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.5906
4.4756
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5413, compared to 4.5350 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5413
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5350

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.1895 MOP (High: 4.5495 / Low: 4.3599). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0208 MOP (High: 4.5299 / Low: 4.5091).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1895
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0208

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0438 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0438

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2014: 4.5810) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.8072), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2262 (-4.71%).

2014 Avg (August) 4.5810
2013 Avg (August) 4.8072

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5745 4.4900 4.5337
February 4.5879 4.5097 4.5575
March 4.5932 4.5492 4.5679
April 4.5557 4.5160 4.5428
May 4.5455 4.5132 4.5288
June 4.5299 4.5091 4.5174
July 4.5787 4.5163 4.5353
August 4.5968 4.5678 4.5810
September 4.5843 4.5444 4.5606
October 4.5661 4.5154 4.5460
November 4.5598 4.4158 4.5022
December 4.5495 4.3599 4.4852