YEARLY HIGH
4.5612 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.2483 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6723 MOP

2015 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 11, valuing the pair at 4.5612. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 21, dropping to 3.2483.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3129 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5280 to the December average rate of 3.3288, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 4.5612 was down 0.77% compared to the 2014 peak of 4.5968, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,806 MOP
2014 Average 22,691 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 16,242 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,564.51 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

4.6479
3.2088
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9601, compared to 3.3845 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5756 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9601
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3845

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 1.0002 MOP (High: 4.5612 / Low: 3.5610). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0295 MOP (High: 3.3475 / Low: 3.3180).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.0002
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0295

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6750 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6750

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 4.2009) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.5679), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3670 (-8.03%).

2015 Avg (March) 4.2009
2014 Avg (March) 4.5679

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5499 4.5126 4.5280
February 4.5378 4.5073 4.5253
March 4.5612 3.5610 4.2009
April 3.5626 3.4317 3.5260
May 3.5188 3.3811 3.4460
June 3.5784 3.4667 3.5346
July 3.5632 3.5054 3.5371
August 3.5151 3.3053 3.4358
September 3.3835 3.2483 3.3296
October 3.3844 3.3181 3.3444
November 3.3475 3.3180 3.3312
December 3.3478 3.3065 3.3288