YEARLY HIGH
3.0042 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.7848 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.9317 MOP

2025 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 3.0042. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 2.7848.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2194 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8229 to the December average rate of 2.9762, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 3.0042 was down 1.75% compared to the 2024 peak of 3.0578, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,021 MOP
2024 Average 14,788 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 13,924 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,097.16 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

3.0038
2.8064
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8927, compared to 2.9708 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0782 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8927
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.9708

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was February, with a trading range of 0.0985 MOP (High: 2.8991 / Low: 2.8005). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0201 MOP (High: 2.9853 / Low: 2.9652).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0985
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0201

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0201 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0201

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2025: 2.9874) against the same month in 2024 (average: 2.9769), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0105 (+0.35%).

2025 Avg (August) 2.9874
2024 Avg (August) 2.9769

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8512 2.7848 2.8229
February 2.8991 2.8005 2.8503
March 2.8901 2.8568 2.8806
April 2.9192 2.8871 2.9057
May 2.9527 2.9165 2.9330
June 2.9743 2.9487 2.9635
July 2.9975 2.9717 2.9823
August 3.0042 2.9484 2.9874
September 2.9874 2.9526 2.9701
October 2.9720 2.9372 2.9501
November 2.9691 2.9401 2.9590
December 2.9853 2.9652 2.9762