YEARLY HIGH
3.3421 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.0108 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2506 MOP

2018 GEL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 3.3421. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 3.0108.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3314 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1487 to the December average rate of 3.0267, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.3421 was down 1.48% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.3925, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,711 MOP
2017 Average 16,082 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 15,054 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,656.77 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.3445
2.9978
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2715, compared to 3.2297 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0418 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2715
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2297

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.2744 MOP (High: 3.2982 / Low: 3.0238). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0200 MOP (High: 3.3163 / Low: 3.2962).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2744
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0200

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1633 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1633

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 3.3156) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.3224), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0068 (-0.20%).

2018 Avg (April) 3.3156
2017 Avg (April) 3.3224

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.2651 3.1013 3.1487
February 3.3009 3.2484 3.2763
March 3.3221 3.2713 3.3003
April 3.3421 3.2763 3.3156
May 3.3250 3.2603 3.2947
June 3.3069 3.2770 3.2935
July 3.3163 3.2962 3.3024
August 3.3058 3.2493 3.2751
September 3.3076 3.2504 3.2869
October 3.3089 3.2822 3.2970
November 3.2982 3.0238 3.1900
December 3.0423 3.0108 3.0267