YEARLY HIGH
53.7194 RSD
YEARLY LOW
47.5696 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
51.1565 RSD

2013 GEL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GEL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 7, valuing the pair at 53.7194. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 47.5696.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.1498 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 50.7851 to the December average rate of 48.3327, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 53.7194 was down 7.77% compared to the 2012 peak of 58.2462, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 268,597 RSD
2012 Average 263,147 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 237,848 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 30,749.04 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

53.0169
47.9069
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 51.5251, compared to 50.7879 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7373 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 51.5251
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 50.7879

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 2.4336 RSD (High: 51.4817 / Low: 49.0482). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8140 RSD (High: 52.1251 / Low: 51.3111).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.4336
August Spread (Stable) ±0.8140

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.0120 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 52.5911) against the same month in 2012 (average: 55.2397), the exchange rate shifted by -2.6486 (-4.79%).

2013 Avg (July) 52.5911
2012 Avg (July) 55.2397

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 51.8603 49.5570 50.7851
February 51.4817 49.0482 50.3338
March 52.7434 51.4718 51.9595
April 52.6258 51.0655 51.7637
May 52.7149 50.8962 52.0746
June 53.1307 51.4691 52.2341
July 53.7194 51.7683 52.5911
August 52.1251 51.3111 51.5430
September 52.4650 50.8750 51.6705
October 50.9342 49.5366 50.2453
November 50.9156 49.5518 50.3447
December 49.6261 47.5696 48.3327