YEARLY HIGH
43.1057 RSD
YEARLY LOW
39.2112 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
41.3331 RSD

2023 GEL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GEL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 8, valuing the pair at 43.1057. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 39.2112.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8946 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.8247 to the December average rate of 39.9678, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 43.1057 was down 2.20% compared to the 2022 peak of 44.0756, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 215,529 RSD
2022 Average 192,490 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 196,056 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,472.83 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

42.7042
39.7190
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 41.8376, compared to 40.8285 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0091 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 41.8376
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 40.8285

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 1.6858 RSD (High: 42.2205 / Low: 40.5346). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5973 RSD (High: 41.3569 / Low: 40.7596).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.6858
August Spread (Stable) ±0.5973

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.1870 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1870

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 42.4448) against the same month in 2022 (average: 33.1474), the exchange rate shifted by +9.2974 (+28.05%).

2023 Avg (March) 42.4448
2022 Avg (March) 33.1474

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 41.4376 40.3331 40.8247
February 42.2205 40.5346 41.4912
March 43.1057 41.7759 42.4448
April 42.8718 42.0470 42.4032
May 43.0138 41.7282 42.4554
June 41.9521 40.5996 41.4063
July 41.5417 40.5031 40.9930
August 41.3569 40.7596 41.0908
September 42.0040 40.8634 41.5117
October 41.8809 40.7451 41.2975
November 40.7956 39.4763 40.1105
December 40.8542 39.2112 39.9678