YEARLY HIGH
40.8115 RSD
YEARLY LOW
36.4862 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
37.9158 RSD

2025 GEL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the GEL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 10, valuing the pair at 40.8115. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 1, dropping to 36.4862.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3253 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 39.8273 to the December average rate of 37.1969, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 40.8115 was down 1.56% compared to the 2024 peak of 41.4594, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 204,058 RSD
2024 Average 199,136 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 182,431 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,626.50 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

40.2863
36.6852
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 38.6601, compared to 37.1716 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4885 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 38.6601
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.1716

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was March, with a trading range of 2.2231 RSD (High: 40.5454 / Low: 38.3223). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4488 RSD (High: 37.4853 / Low: 37.0364).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.2231
August Spread (Stable) ±0.4488

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.1528 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1528

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 39.9863) against the same month in 2024 (average: 40.9332), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9469 (-2.31%).

2025 Avg (February) 39.9863
2024 Avg (February) 40.9332

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 40.4813 38.8515 39.8273
February 40.8115 39.3836 39.9863
March 40.5454 38.3223 39.0735
April 39.1312 37.2424 37.9207
May 38.5361 37.6197 37.8885
June 37.7598 36.5481 37.2641
July 37.9870 36.4862 36.9853
August 37.4853 37.0364 37.2905
September 37.3688 36.5584 37.0001
October 37.4159 36.6144 37.0827
November 37.7470 37.2590 37.4738
December 37.5492 37.0248 37.1969