2016 GEL to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

51.6734 RSD

YEARLY LOW

42.3575 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

47.1398 RSD

2016 GEL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 51.6734. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 42.3575.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.3158 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 46.3152 to the December average rate of 44.1306, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 51.6734 was down 19.92% compared to the 2015 peak of 64.5283, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 258,367 RSD

2015 Average 249,642 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 211,788 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,579.24 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

50.6971

43.5336

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 47.5750, compared to 46.7046 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8704 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 47.5750

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 46.7046

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 4.3908 RSD (High: 51.5527 / Low: 47.1619). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9305 RSD (High: 47.8708 / Low: 46.9403).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.3908

July Spread (Stable) ±0.9305

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.5148 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.5148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 49.8836) against the same month in 2015 (average: 46.5858), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2977 (+7.08%).

2016 Avg (May) 49.8836

2015 Avg (May) 46.5858

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	46.9221	45.5959	46.3152
February	45.8534	43.6463	44.5518
March	47.7505	45.4535	46.5916
April	48.9064	46.8421	48.0076
May	51.6734	47.9243	49.8836
June	51.5527	47.1619	50.1002
July	47.8708	46.9403	47.5854
August	48.0188	46.8101	47.4331
September	48.1733	46.9478	47.5792
October	47.9475	46.8897	47.3603
November	46.9696	45.4654	46.1393
December	45.1633	42.3575	44.1306