YEARLY HIGH
39.4069 RSD
YEARLY LOW
36.2430 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
37.9023 RSD

2026 GEL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the GEL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 39.4069. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 36.2430.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1638 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.1506 to the December average rate of 38.9228, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 39.4069 was down 3.44% compared to the 2025 peak of 40.8115, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 197,034 RSD
2025 Average 189,521 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 181,215 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,819.14 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

39.2720
36.8113
JanuMarcMayJuly

GEL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.5381, compared to 38.9949 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4568 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.5381
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.9949

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was June, with a trading range of 1.4220 RSD (High: 39.1247 / Low: 37.7027). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1973 RSD (High: 39.0309 / Low: 38.8337).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.4220
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1973

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1442 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1442

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 39.0669) against the same month in 2025 (average: 36.9853), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0816 (+5.63%).

2026 Avg (July) 39.0669
2025 Avg (July) 36.9853

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 37.6149 36.2430 37.1506
February 37.3713 36.6595 37.0164
March 38.2466 37.0133 37.4859
April 37.9535 36.9244 37.3433
May 37.9503 37.3510 37.7663
June 39.1247 37.7027 38.4661
July 39.4069 38.8367 39.0669
August 39.0309 38.8337 38.9228